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Programme

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The registration and all plenary sessions are in the Auditorium (Swe. Hörsalen) in the basement floor of Kårhuset, which is approximately 200 meters away from the Centre for Mathematical Sciences. All contributed talks are in Lecture hall A, B and C at the entrance of the Centre for Mathematical Science.

Changes (Friday June 13)
Lars Bärring's talk (Mon) is moved to the Climate session (Wed 15.00).
Gudmund Høst's talk (Wed 10.00) will be given by Anders Løland.
John Haslett's talk (Wed 15.30) will be given by Sourabh Bhattacharya.

Map of Centre of Mathematical Sciences and Kårhuset

For your convenience, all abstracts are available as a single document (ps, pdf, or as two-up 2up ps, 2up pdf [230-380kb]).

Sunday June 15
15.00-16.30	Registration Auditorium, Kårhuset
16.30-16.45	Vic Barnett and Klas Malmqvist Conference opening Auditorium, Kårhuset
16.45-17.45	Peter Guttorp Where is environmental statistics going? Auditorium, Kårhuset
18.00-19.30	Reception with drinks and snack meals Gasquesalen, Kårhuset

Monday June 16
08.00-09.00	Registration Auditorium, Kårhuset
09.00-09.50	Jonathan Tawn Dependence issues in problems of environmental extremes Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.00-10.50	Georg Lindgren Satellite surveillance and stochastic modelling of ocean conditions Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.50-11.20	Coffee Kårhuset
11.20-12.10	Mark Berliner Physical-statistical modelling and prediction Auditorium, Kårhuset
12.10-13.40	Lunch
13.40-14.30	Richard Smith Nonstationary spatial models in climatology and air pollution Auditorium, Kårhuset
14.30-15.00	Coffee with fruit Centre for Mathematical Sciences
15.00-17.25	Contributed sessions Part I
15.00-16.55	Contributed session: Extreme values 15.00 Clive Anderson, Continuous-Time Extremes from Discrete-Time Observations 15.30 Marilia Antunes, An Optimal Alarm System for Ozone Levels Exceedances 16.00 Amy Grady, An Extreme Value Theory of U.S. Rainfall 16.30 Nader Tajvidi, Parametric and Nonparametric Analysis of Temporal Trend in Extreme Values with Applications to Wind Storm Losses and Temperature Data Lecture hall A, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
15.00-17.25	Contributed session: Water quality 15.00 Franz Konecny, Transport in Groundwater Flow: Simulations and Applications to Environmental Risk Assessment 15.30 Lieven Clement, Statistical Validation of Water Quality Data 16.00 Anders Nordgård, Impact of sampling frequency on the power of nonparametric tests for water quality trends 16.30 Mohamad Hussian, A generic procedure for simultaneous estimation of monotone trends and seasonal patterns in time series of environmental data 17.00 Lena Zetterqvist, Teaching environmental statistics Lecture hall B, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
15.00-17.25	Contributed session: Air quality & Indicators 15.00 A. Fasso, Asymmetric multivariate control charts for air quality monitoring 15.30 Torgny Lindström, Analysis of LIDAR fields using nonparametric kernel regression methods 16.00 Ranjan Maitra, Indexing Environmental Quality Indicators: A Multiple Criteria Decision-making Approach 16.30 Justin Iheakanwa, Modelling and Analyzing Spatial-Temporal Environmental Data 17.00 Salim Lardjane, Determinism is not a curse: optimal speed invariant density estimation for chaotic dynamical systems Lecture hall C, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
17.25-17.45	Coffee Centre for Mathematical Sciences
17.45-19.10	Contributed sessions Part II
17.45-18.45	Contributed session: Oceanography 17.45 S.M. Barbosa, Time series analysis of sea level data 18.15 Anders Malmberg, Assessement of Meteorological Model Error Lecture hall A, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
17.45-18.45	Contributed session: Deposition 17.45 Ragnar Huseby, Bayesian Calibration of an acidificaton model with application to risk assessment of acid deposition 18.15 Rognvald I Smith, Models and measurement comparisons: an issue with national and continental scale models for air pollutant deposition Lecture hall B, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
17.45-19.10	Contributed session: Geostatistics 17.45 Christiano Varin, Pairwise Likelihood Inference in Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models 18.15 Linda Werner, Bayesian Markov random field modelling for spatial data 18.45 Martin Sköld, Robust MCMC methods for a geostatistical model Lecture hall C, Centre for Mathematical Sciences

Tuesday June 17
09.00-12.00	TIES: IMPACT - Estimation of Human Impact in the Presence of Natural Fluctuations
09.00-09.25	Anders Grimvall Environmental objectives, interim targets and assessment of goal achievement Auditorium, Kårhuset
09.30-09.55	Claudia Libiseller Model selection for ozone normalisation using regional-scale meteorological variables Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.00-10.50	Hans Wackernagel Selective geostatistics for environmental problems Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.50-11.10	Coffee Kårhuset
11.10-12.00	Andreas Hense On the use of statistics in complex weather and climate models Auditorium, Kårhuset
12.00-13.15	Lunch
13.15-22.00	Conference trip to the Island of Hven 13.15 Bus leaves for the boat in Landskrona 14.15 Boat departure to Hven 21.00 Boat leaves from Hven 21.30 Bus leaves for Lund

Wednesday June 18
09.00-09.50	Åke Johansson Empirical Orthogonal Teleconnections Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.00-10.50	Anders Løland (replaces Gudmund Høst) Spatial and temporal aspects of modelling fish abundance Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.50-11.20	Coffee Kårhuset
11.20-12.10	Antti Penttinen Characterizing, modelling and interpreting spatial association between spatial point processes Auditorium, Kårhuset
12.10-13.40	Lunch
13.40-14.30	Gianfranco Lovison Categorical/categorized data in environmetrics Auditorium, Kårhuset
14.30-15.00	Coffee with fruit Centre for Mathematical Sciences
15.00-16.55	Contributed sessions
15.00-16.55	Contributed session: Climate 15.00 Lars Bärring, Stormy weather in southern Sweden 15:30 John Haslett, Bayesian palaeo-climate reconstruction (presented by Sourabh Bhattacharya) 16.00 Sourabh Bhattacharya, Importance Resampling MCMC: A methodology for Cross Validation in Inverse Problems 16.30 Thomas Gsponer, General State-Space Models for Evapotranspiration in Long-term Vegetation Succession Models Lecture hall A, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
15.00-16.25	Contributed session: Sampling 15.00 Renato Salvatore, Collecting agri-environmental data in farm structure sample surveys: a multivariate allocation model 15.30 Lisa Borges, Variance versus cost = statistician versus manager 16.00 Russell Alpizar-Jara, Distance sampling and measurement error models Lecture hall B, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
15.00-16.55	Contributed session: Ecology 15.00 Shojiro Tanaka, Models of Deforestation with Spatial Dependency by Human Population Interactions 15.30 Ullrika Sahlin, Analysis of forest field data from mixed forests with a spatial approach 16.00 Robert King, How well can we predict introduction success? 16.30 Gunnhildur Högnadóttir Steinbakk, A Bayesian hierarchical model for the population dynamics of the coastal cod with focus on model comparison for density dependence estimation Lecture hall C, Centre for Mathematical Sciences
19.00	Conference dinner Grand Hotel, city centre

Thursday June 19
09.00-12.10	TIES: Constructing and Evaluating Environmental Models
09.00-09.50	Marian Scott The model evaluation process: Lessons in statistical modelling applied to environmental modelling Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.00-10.50	Bruce Beck On procedures for reconciling models with observations: Still muddling through Auditorium, Kårhuset
10.50-11.20	Coffee Kårhuset
11.20-12.10	Peter Challenor The probability of thermohaline collapse and rapid climate change Auditorium, Kårhuset
12.10-12.20	Clive Anderson Conference closing Auditorium, Kårhuset